Jacoby Ellsbury partner
MLBTheShow 2020 FAQs and Resources
2020.10.11 21:58 lfgm2020 MLBTheShow 2020 FAQs and Resources
I haven’t bought 2020 yet. Is it too late for me to start?
No, fortunately, the Show’s Diamond Dynasty mode has programs that allow players to get good cards pretty quickly, without spending any money or stubs. I just got the Show and want to get some good players for my DD squad. Where do I begin? Here is a guide on how to quickly build a competitive team for online play
from u/OhHeyItsScott What is the quickest way to make progress on TAs? (Team Affinity)
There are a few ways to make progress on Team Affinity. The quickest and costliest way to go about it is through exchanges. Given the rewards you get from the TA path, this is largely seen as worthwhile.
A more cost effective way to go about is through Showdowns. The downside is that this takes much more time.
After SDS has made showdowns easier to complete, March to October is no longer a very viable way to make TA progress. How does Conquest mode work? Here is a guide on the basics of Conquest, this is applicable to all of the conquest maps in the game.
Credit to u/armenia4ever What do attributes mean and what do they do? Here is a post that explains every player attribute
also from u/OhHeyItsScott How can I get better at the game online? Here is a guide to become competitive in ranked seasons
from u/ravengeneral What is Inside Edge? Answer courtesy of u/KolaFreak
Inside Edge is an analytics company that has been helping major league teams for decades. They are partnered with MLB the Show to provide daily matchup info. This means that live series cards’ overall will vary day by day according to the matchup they are facing. This is reflected by the five stars that are on the live series card. The rating on the card can go up or down depending on the matchup for that day. One star out of five reflects a poor matchup (such as a hitter against a pitcher with similar repertoires as the pitchers they have struggled against in their career or a pitcher who struggles to get outs against the team they are facing for the day). Five stars out of five suggests an excellent matchup (such as a hitter who has dominated a division rival over his career or a pitcher who consistently gets good starts). This can be extremely useful early in the season as it can make live series cards more viable at the beginning. It can also be useful when drafting players in Battle Royale or in Events where there is a strict cap on overalls. Inside Edge typically does not affect the market much, especially later in the season. It can help some cards remain viable as bench bats, despite not fitting in the lineup elsewhere. What Type of Monitor Should I Get?
Due to the specs of the PS4, response time is irrelevant as long as it is under 16 ms. What does matter is a monitor’s input lag at 60HZ (which is what PS4 runs on).
In other words, input lag matters more than response time. Here's an explanation from u/bubbawobsy I finished a player program and didn’t get the card. What is the issue?
A common misconception is that after you complete moments, a program is done. This usually isn’t the case. The moments alone don’t give enough points, so you typically need to finish something in the missions tab of the program. Twitch Drops
Some streams on Twitch have “drops” enabled, which gives you free pack(s) of cards on TheShow. To get these, link your PSN account to twitch on your Show Nation dashboard. Then watch the stream when it goes live if drops are enabled. Here are directions from The Show Nation on how to link your accounts. Index of Card Types
Commonly Used Acronyms
- Live Series (LS)
- Cards representing current MLB players. Ratings are based on their last 3 seasons, with more weight on their current season.
- All-Star (AS)
- A card representing a year where a player made the All Star game or participated in the Home Run Derby.
- A card representing a year where a player won an MLB award (MVP, Cy Young, Silver Slugger, Gold Glove, Rookie of the Year).
- Breakout (BO)
- A card representing a year where the player had a better year than their normal year. Most of these cards are of players earlier in their career.
- Face of the Franchise (FotF)
- A card used to give a boosted version of a well liked player. FotF are all currently found as the goal card in stage one of Team Affinity. All FotF cards are diamonds.
- Future Stars (FS)
- A boosted card representing a possible best case scenario for a top prospect.
- Home Run Derby (HRD)
- A card with boosted power representing a player’s performance in a past Home Run Derby.
- Monthly Awards (MA)
- A boosted card of an active player who had an above average month for the player. Due to the season’s delay, MA cards were flashbacks from April-July. The August and September programs reflect performances from the 2020 season.
- Players League (PL)
- A boosted card of an active player who made it to the 2020 The Show Players league playoffs. There are also 99 overall PL cards that are only available to the player themselves (example 99 overall Lucus Giolito is only available for Lucas Giolito himself.)
- Postseason (PS)
- A card representing a player who had a standout postseason run
- A card representing when a player was in their prime. Ratings are based on a average when the player was in their prime
- A boosted card representing minor leaguers or rookies. Very similar to FS cards.
- Rookie (R)
- A card representing a player during their rookie season.
- Signature Series (SS)
- A card representing the best of a player. Similar to Prime cards, but calculated differently. SS cards take their entire career in mind and produce ceilings and floors. Then ratings are averaged in each category. SS ratings do not focus on individual years.
- Topps Now (Topps)
- Cards representing players who had an extraordinary moment in the past week. Topps Now cards are real cards, so SDS isn’t completely in control of who they can drop.
- Veteran (Vet)
- A card representing a player on the downswing of their career. Most veteran cards are used to get big name players a lower overall rated card.
- DD - Diamond Dynasty
- MTO - March to October
- RTTS - Road to the Show
- RS - Ranked Seasons
- BR - Battle Royale
- BIAH - Ballin is a Habit Pack
- HRD - Home Run Derby Pack
- DOTP - Ducks on the Pond Pack
- TA - Team Affinity
- QC - Quick Counts
- PCI - Plate Coverage Indicator
Comprehensive Showdown Guides Stage 1 Showdowns: AL East
- CAP - Create A Player
- NMS - No Money Spent
by u/conpollo27 NL East
by u/conpollo27 AL West
by u/Daehoforlife NL West
by u/WhamRam45 AL Central
by u/WhamRam45 NL Central
by u/shinybulba Stage 2 Showdowns: AL Stage 2
by u/spleedge NL Stage 2
by u/shinybulba Stage 3 Showdowns: East Stage 3 Showdown Guide
by u/jp___gaming West Stage 3 Showdown Guide
by u/jp___gaming Central Stage 3 Showdown Guide
by u/willb125 Inning Program Showdowns: 1st Inning Showdown Guide
by u/Statnut 2nd Inning Showdown Guide
by u/Worst_Smurf_NA 3rd Inning Showdown Guide
by u/Schnitzel2k 4th Inning Showdown Guide
by u/Eddie_Sp4ghetti 5th Inning Showdown Guide
by u/Eddie_Sp4ghetti 6th Inning Showdown Guide
By u/crocks12 7th Inning Showdown Guide
by u/StewkieBear 8th Inning showdown Guide
by u/crocks12 9th Inning Showdown Guide
Inning programs are major content releases that occur around once per month and are a significant part of Diamond Dynasty. Inning programs are completed with ‘program stars’ that are earned by completing objectives and by simply playing the game. There are rewards every 10-20 stars which range from exclusive bat flips to past headliner packs. At 150 stars there is a ‘henchmen’ choice pack that features 3 exclusive gold or diamond players and at 300 stars there is a choice pack of the 3 very good ‘boss’ players that the program is featured around. Past 300, most inning programs have rewards every 50 stars up to 600-900 stars. These are usually stubs, pack bundles or special packs. The five categories of objectives to earn stars are: Dailies
- 4 missions per day that reset at 8:00 EST. These are a great source of program stars and together are worth 10+ per day. Everyday there will be 1 tally innings mission (Tally 8 innings pitched with Cardinals pitchers), 2 online stat missions (ex. Tally 5 RBI in online games) and 1 exchange mission (ex. Exchange AL East players). These dailies only count to the current inning and cannot be applied to previous innings. Showdown
- Every inning program has an specific Showdown that can be completed once for 70 program stars. These tend to include the current inning bosses and henchmen pack players in the showdown draft with the mini-showdowns and missions focused on them and their careers as well. Showdowns can be completed once for stars, however they can be completed after an inning is over for stars on the inning with which they are associated. Missions
- Here there are missions that reward stars for Ranked Seasons, Battle Royale and Event wins. There are also objectives for tallying certain stats with current Player Program cards online. These missions can also be completed following the end of an inning program. Conquest
- Every inning program also has a specific Conquest map that can be completed once for 30 program stars. These maps almost always have great hidden rewards, so they are a must do. Sometimes special Conquest maps for Mother’s and Father’s day are also included in this category and can be completed for additional program stars. Conquests can also be completed following the end of an inning. Collections
: In every inning program there is a collection of the previous program’s bosses that can be completed for the inning voucher which can be exchanged for 75 program stars. There is also a collection for a certain card type every program along collections for the 2-3 player program cards for the current inning. Collections can also be completed at the end of an inning. Is it worth completing the Inning Voucher?
Most likely not, the voucher is only valuable to players that plan on finishing the program within the first 2 days so they can sell their boss pick for an inflated price. Otherwise, it isn’t worth locking in that many stubs.
Past and Current Inning Program Bosses
93 Prime Roy Oswalt
91 All-Star Todd Helton
91 All-Star Duke Snider
93 All-Star Bob Feller
93 Prime Joe Carter
92 Veteran Hanley Ramirez
94 Veteran Chipper Jones
94 Awards Shane Victorino
94 Prime Brian Roberts
98 Signature Series Joe Torre
96 Awards Felix Hernandez
96 Prime Jacoby Ellsbury
99 Signature Series Mariano Rivera
99 Signature Series Larry Walker
99 Awards David Ortiz
99 Signature Series Greg Maddux
99 Signature Series Jimmy Rollins
99 Awards Stan Musial
99 Signature Series Walter Johnson
99 Prime Frank Thomas
99 Awards Bryce Harper
99 Prime Ty Cobb
99 Awards Clayton Kershaw
99 Awards Pudge Rodriguez
99 Prime Honus Wagner
99 Awards Jimmie Foxx
99 Signature Series Kenley Jansen
Edit: Updates made to Topps Now and Monthly Award card sections.
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2017.12.31 15:49 laterdude What current baseball player do you think will win the sunk cost derby and how much of their contract do you predict their team will eat?
My money is on Pujols. Moreno has already proved he's not afraid to eat a huge contract--see that $73 million he paid Josh Hamilton
to go away and the $21.5 million to Gary Matthews Jr.
Pujols will last until the fog of the all-star break. By then, the remainder will be under $100 million and Ohtani will have shown he's ready to DH full-time.
Other potential prospects:
1.) David Price: Couldn't even crack the Red Sox starting postseason rotation. They're not afraid to eat massive contracts. See Pablo Sandoval.
2.) Robinson Cano: Playing well now but he'll be earning $24 million when he's forty.
3.) Jacoby Ellsbury: If Yankees find a trade partner, feel free to include the amount Cashman sends over in the deal.
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2017.11.14 14:43 HateMcLouth Positional outlook discussion thread: The outfield spots
Dumb idea I came with for the offseason, which mayo seems to encourage. We'll have a few such threads discussing various parts of the roster (outfield, middle infield + C, corner infield + DH, starting pitching, bullpen) - these'll be put up every few days. Kind of a combination of the RAB "season in review" type post, plus an outlook towards 2018/19/beyond. An overview of the OF situation
Major outfield prospects of note:
|2017 Yankees outfielders ||Performance ||Contract situations |
|Brett Gardner (LF) ||104 OPS+, 4.9 bWAR ||Owed 11.5m in 2018, 12.5m club option for 2019 |
|Jacoby Ellsbury (CF) ||97 OPS+, 1.7 bWAR ||Owed 21.1m through 2020, 21m club option for 2021, NTC |
|Aaron Hicks (CF) ||122 OPS+, 3.9 bWAR ||Second arb year, earliest FA 2020 |
|Aaron Judge (RF) ||171 OPS+, 8.1 bWAR ||Pre-arb, earliest FA 2023 |
|Clint Frazier (RF) ||84 OPS+, -0.4 bWAR ||League minimum if he's in the majors. |
|Mason Williams (CF) ||46 OPS+, -0.3 bWAR ||Free agent |
Jake Cave (CF) - hit to a .921 OPS in AAA this year. Added to the 40 man roster.
Estevan Florial's our best OF prospect, but late 2019 is the most optimistic MLB ETA for him.
Billy McKinney hit well in AAA and the AZFL and is on the 40 man bubble. Other notables:
Tyler Wade can also play some LF, though not especially well.
Bryce Harper is a free agent in Nov 2018, barring any extensions.
Giancarlo Stanton is on the trading block. 2017-2018 outfield free agents:
JD Martinez, Jay Bruce
Melky Cabrera, Carlos Gonzalez, Seth Smith, Curtis Granderson
Jon Jay, Jarrod Dyson, Austin Jackson, Leoyns Martin, Chris Young, Ichiro Discussion time
- What do you see as the likely outfield arrangement in 2018?
- Long term, what do we expect for the outfield in 2019 and going forward? Are Hicks/Judge the outfielders to build around? What role might Gardner play (with a very affordable club option) in 2019, especially given Harper's impending free agency?
- Ellsbury contract. What happens? Realistically - who might work as a trade partner? What might the Yankees have to give up/eat to make a trade work? Or would the Yankees just trade Hicks instead and keep Ells?
- And if we trade Ells, what do we do for a backup/4th OF spot? Sign a FA such as Grandy or AJax who could conceivably cover all 3 OF spots, or find an in-house solution (FrazieCave)?
- Predictions: starting OF arrangement in 2018 and 2019?
- What role does Frazier play in 2018? An up-and-down player who'll shuffle between the majors and AAA, a bench bat, or stay in AAA to keep developing his game? What about the other OFers in AAA: McKinney and Cave?
- Mike Axisa writes at RAB that the Yankees ought to look into Stanton. Thoughts? What would this do to the OF configuration? Who'd have to move where to accomodate it?
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2016.10.13 19:32 Jakethejoker The best of both worlds: How that Yankees can be competitive next year while still staying under the cap for the 2018 free agency class
First off, lets look at the Yankees salaries before arbitration and free agency
|Player ||Salary ($) |
|Jacoby Ellsbury ||$21,142,857 |
|Brett Gardner ||$12.5MM |
|CC Sabathia (Vested) ||$25MM |
|Brian McCann ||$17MM |
|Chase Headley ||$13MM |
|Masahiro Tanaka ||$22MM |
|Starlin Castro ||$9,857,142 |
|Tyler Clippard ||$6.15MM |
|Alex Rodriquez (Retained) ||$21,000,000 |
|Total ||$147,649,999 |
And now Arbitration projections courtesy of MLB trade rumors
|Player ||Salary ($) |
|Michael Pineda (5.099) ||$7.8MM |
|Dustin Ackley (5.087) ||$3.2MM |
|Nathan Eovaldi (5.013) ||$7.5MM |
|Adam Warren (4.031) ||$2.3MM |
|Didi Gregorius (3.159) ||$5.1MM |
|Dellin Betances (3.078) ||$3.4MM |
|Austin Romine (3.045) ||$900K |
|Aaron Hicks (3.041) ||$1.4MM |
|Tommy Layne (2.142) ||$1.2MM |
Now, Ackley and Evoaldi look to be non-tendered leaving us with a total of $22.1 for arbitration players.
That puts us at 14 players and a salary total of $168.7MM. Now assuming we see some familiar faces (mostly at league minimum our roster should look like this at pre-FA)
|Position ||#1 ||#2 ||#3 ||#4 ||#5 ||#6 ||#7 ||#8 ||#9 ||Total |
|C ||McCann ||Romine ||Sanchez || || || || || || ||3 |
|1B ||Bird || || || || || || || || ||1 |
|2B ||Castro ||Util || || || || || || || ||1 |
|3B ||Headley ||Util || || || || || || || ||1 |
|SS ||Gregorious ||Util || || || || || || || ||1 |
|LF ||Gardner || || || || || || || || ||1 |
|CF ||Ellsbury || || || || || || || || ||1 |
|RF ||Hicks ||Judge || || || || || || || ||2 |
|SP ||Tanaka ||CC ||Pineda ||Green ||Cessa || || || || ||5 |
|RP ||Betances ||Clippard ||Warren ||Layne ||Shreve ||Severino || || || ||6 |
|CP || || || || || || || || || ||0 |
|Util ||Refsnyder ||Torreyes || || || || || || || ||2 |
With 10 minimum salary guys ($5.07MM) that pushes us to $173.77MM and one roster spot to fill. The 2016 luxury tax threshold is $189MM, however with at new CBA to be negotiated, that looks to increase, since we dont know by how much, ill just use the $11MM baseline from the past increase. So, going into free agency we should have around 27MM to throw around for one player, give or take one Austin Judge or Rob Refsnyder. Our most pressing needs in free agency should be pitching, with Arod and Teix gone our offense looks to be much better (it cant be worse amarite?). The top pitching prospects look to be:
In an ideal world Id love to bring Chapman and Melancon in and hope one of the young starters pan out. We saw what happens when we have 3 legit shut down guys, and hell now we have Clippard and Warren back too! Realistically I see us signing one of these guys too a contract thats way too long, but hey, thats just how it goes in the Bronx...
- Aroldis Chapman (CP): We know him, we love his cheddar, he has a closer mentality, he wants to come back to NY, but its going to be a little more complicated than that. If the Cubs win the WS, thats going to be tough to walk away from. We also wont be the only team looking for reliever help see, and the Yankees should be looking to be stingy this year. Rumors peg Aroldis to be commanding around 18 million on a multi year contract this offseason, honestly? Id be okay with that, keep Dellin as far away from that 9th inning as humanly possible.
- Kenley Jansen(CP): Another great option for the Yankees, however, this one will come at a price more than money. Unless the QO mechanic is removed in this next CBA the Yankees would have to give up a first round pick to steal Janen away from Dodgers this summer. The plus side to this would be we would be able to get him at slightly lower than market value. I know the market is weak right now, but IMO a first round pick is way too valuable to give up for a 9th inning guy, id stay away from this.
- Mark Melancon(CP): Another great reliver, and former Yankee, Mark is coming off a great year for the Pirates and Nats will be looking for his first big payday. Marks salary will probably be decided by what Chapman gets (or vice vera), he should get around 2MM AAV less on an equal year deal. If im the Yankees, this is the deal im looking to make. Great GB%, low HR%, the only concerning thing is he had a BABIP lower than his career average, yet to be seen if thats sustainable.
- Rich Hill (SP): Yankees need a real number 2. I know we all love CC, he had a great year, but he doesnt have the stuff to cut it in the playoffs. Rich Hill should be a short term contract considering his age and will command anywhere from 10-15 million, making him comfortably affordable to the Yankees and if its on the lower side we could also sign one of the closers.
If you see any errors dont point it out becuase ill want to die just tell me!
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2016.08.02 17:58 Constant_Gardner11 Should the Yankees look to trade away more players through waivers in August?
The Yankees unloaded Aroldis Chapman, Andrew Miller, Carlos Beltran, and Ivan Nova before yesterday's non-waiver trade deadline, bringing back hella prospects to drool over. But should the rebuild stop there?
For those who aren't familiar with the August waiver trade rules, here's a nice primer.
To sum it up:
- There's no risk involved by placing a player on waivers in August, because if he's claimed, you can just pull him back. Therefore, the Yankees will, as usual, place several players on waivers.
- When a player is claimed, the team has three options. Pull the player back, work out a trade with the claiming team, or just give the player away to the claiming team.
- If a player goes unclaimed for two days (think A-Rod), the Yankees would be free to trade him anywhere they want for the rest of the year. (Though of course 10/5 rights and no-trade clauses are still in play.)
- There is a soft deadline to all this of August 31. If a player is traded after August 31, his new team cannot use him in the postseason.
There are several players the Yankees will likely place on waivers. Do you think they should be aggressive in trying to move them?
|Player ||Money/Years Remaining After 2016 ||Possible Trade Partners |
|CC Sabathia ||$25 million/1 year ||Angels, Giants, Rangers |
|Mark Teixeira ||N/A ||Nationals, Astros, Mets |
|Masahiro Tanaka ||$89 million/4 years ||Giants, Dodgers, Angels |
|Jacoby Ellsbury ||$84.5 million/4 years ||Diamondbacks, Tigers, Dodgers, Nationals |
|Alex Rodriguez ||$21 million/1 year ||Marlins (lol) |
|Brian McCann ||$49 million/3 years ||Braves, Indians |
|Brett Gardner ||$24 million/2 years ||Diamondbacks, Tigers, Dodgers, Nationals |
|Chase Headley ||$26 million/2 years ||Angels, Phillies |
|Starlin Castro ||$32 million/3 years ||Athletics, Rockies, Pirates |
Those salary totals are all from Sportrac
, so apologies if there are any incorrect. And those potential trade partners are just guesses of mine and are clearly not perfect.
Of that list, I would guess Tanaka and Headley are the most likely to get claimed. Maybe not. But Tanaka is a top-of-the-line starter, and Headley is solid enough at 3rd and signed to a market-rate deal. No one would touch A-Rod, CC, or Tex obviously. I don't think anyone would risk getting Ellsbury dumped on them either. I think McCann, Gardner, and Castro are interesting cases, depending on how desperate teams are.
Personally, I'd like the Yankees to hold onto Gardner (lifelong Yankee FTW) and McCann (to coach Sanchez and be clubhouse leader) and Tanaka ('cause he's badass). I'd be very open to them moving Ellsbury, Tex, CC, or A-Rod obviously, but can't see that happening. I would also be fine with the Yankees dumping Castro (4,000+ MLB at-bats, we know who he is) and Headley (not really a part of the future) if they can get some nice pieces back. The bad thing would be that the Yankees don't have anyone ready to jump in at 2nd or 3rd. So things could get rough.
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2016.02.16 00:52 snilsborg Looking for feedback: new way to play fantasy baseball
Hello fantasy baseball community,
I've invented a new way to play fantasy baseball. Before spending time and energy building the product, I wanted to get YOUR opinion on whether you would actually play this game or not. No need to waste time building a product that the target audience won't use.
My game uses the rules of real baseball and the at-bat by at-bat performance of players (in the order that the at-bats occur) to play a real baseball game. Instead of the traditional fantasy format of accumulating points, the object of my game is to score more runs than your opponent, just like in a real baseball game.
Here's how it works:
-Pick your team and set your batting order from 1 through 9.
-However your leadoff hitter performs in his first at-bat in real life is how he will perform in his first at-bat for your fantasy team that night. However your second player performs in his first at-bat in real life is how he will perform in his first at-bat for your team, etc.
For example, if you have Jacoby Ellsbury in your leadoff spot and he hits a double in his first at-bat in real life, he hits a double in his first at-bat for your team. If you have Dustin Pedroia in the 2-spot and he hits a single in his first at-bat in real life, he hits a single in his first at-bat for your team, etc.
-The outcome of the at-bat dictates how the baserunners will advance. For example, in an extremely simple version of the game, if the batter hits a single then all baserunners advance 1 base, if the batter hits a double then all baserunners advance 2 bases, etc.
-Just like a real baseball game, after your team makes 3 outs your half of the inning is over and your opponent is up
-You continue this process until you play a full 9 inning baseball game. Whichever team has the most runs at the end of the game wins
What do you guys think? Is this a fantasy baseball game you would play? Why or why not? I haven't included all of the nitty gritty details of how it work, but does this make sense at a high level? What questions do you have?
Answers to a few questions I anticipate you'll ask:
-What if your hitter doesn't have enough at-bats to finish the game? If your hitter doesn't have enough real-life at-bats to finish your fantasy game, his backup steps in. However the backup performs in his first at-bat in real life that night is how he will perform in his first at-bat for your fantasy team, etc.
-What about pitching and defense? There is no pitching or defense
-The baserunning rules will be more nuanced and realistic than described above e.g. a baserunner may or may not advance on a fly ball depending on where in the outfield the ball is hit, a runner on 2B and no one on 1B will advance to 3B on a ground ball to 2B or 1B but not to 3B or SS, etc.
Thanks you for taking the time to partner with me on this, Sam
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2015.08.18 05:39 degenerate_imbecile John Sterling, the Yankees play-by-play, just had the worst game of his life, which is saying a lot.
As weird and quirky as the game was tonight, John Sterling had an even worse night. It was just cringe after cringe listening to that. Is he even paying attention to the field anymore??
- Jacoby Ellsbury thrown out at home. Sterling emphatically calls him safe despite no call from the ump.
- Dozier from MIN hits a high far foul down the line, which Sterling calls "nit is high nit is far nit is gone" without even mentioning it's down the line or anything. Dude deserves a partner like Suzyn.
- Last but not least, and this is the worst in my opinion. Justin Wilson has been pitching pretty well out of the bullpen for the Yankees all year long, yet Sterling can't get his f*cking name right even once, constantly referring to him as "Josh Wilson". SMH
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2015.03.02 22:25 vslyke (OC) Examining the Options for the Braves’ Opening Day CF Job
With the loss of Melvin Upton Jr. to a foot injury that I’m not even going to try to spell, the Braves will be fielding an entirely new OF for Opening Day 2015. While we have a pretty good idea of what the corners will look like (Markakis, if healthy, in RF and Gomes with a platoon partner in LF), several players have been suggested as a fit for CF. Foremost among the proposed options are Eury Perez, Todd Cunningham, & Eric Young Jr. with Zoilo Almonte also pitched as a fallback option (and the looming specter of Jose Constanza in AAA). What follows are the 2015 ZIPS projections for each player listed above (with the exception of Young, who has no ZIPS projection. Instead, his line features his Steamer projection). These lines have been prorated to a full season (600 PAs) where appropriate to give a fuller sense of each player’s ability:
|Player ||OBP ||ISO ||BABIP ||BB% ||K% ||K-BB% ||wRC+ ||Bs600 ||Def/600 ||WA600 |
|Melvin Upton ||0.293 ||0.164 ||0.286 ||9.0% ||28.8% ||19.8% ||89 ||1.0 ||0.0 ||1.3 |
|Eury Perez ||0.305 ||0.079 ||0.329 ||3.1% ||18.2% ||15.1% ||85 ||3.0 ||6.2 ||1.9 |
|Todd Cunningham ||0.305 ||0.091 ||0.298 ||5.5% ||16.6% ||11.1% ||83 ||0.3 ||4.4 ||1.2 |
|Eric Young Jr. ||0.305 ||0.085 ||0.299 ||7.9% ||19.2% ||11.3% ||79 ||4.5 ||-6.8 ||0.2 |
|Zoilo Almonte ||0.279 ||0.143 ||0.284 ||5.4% ||23.8% ||18.4% ||83 ||0.1 ||-10.4 ||-0.4 |
|Jose Constanza ||0.296 ||0.039 ||0.298 ||5.4% ||14.4% ||9.0% ||66 ||-0.4 ||-0.1 ||-0.6 |
There’s a lot to look at there, most of which relates to the offensive potential of the players. Here’s a brief analysis of the provided line for each player: Melvin Upton
It’s a credit to Upton’s
production in Tampa Bay that ZIPS still holds out some hope of a rebound. While 1.3 WAR per season would have been pretty disappointing before Upton joined the Braves, ZIPS’ projection represents the most optimistic projection of any projection system and represents more optimism for the elder Upton than 99% of the Braves’ fanbase. ZIPS projects a batting line that approaches average MLB production, largely due to an increase in ISO (.164, up from .125 in 2014). It is important to note that this projection doesn’t reflect the possibility that his foot injury could linger and sap his skills once he returns. Eury Perez Braves’ beat writer David O’Brien recently suggested that Perez is the front-runner for the Opening Day job.
While Perez has impressive minor league numbers
, he has never gotten a chance to prove his worth in the majors due to presence of Denard Span in Washington and Jacoby Ellsbury in New York. Perez is a slap hitter, who utilizes his speed to post strong BABIPs (and thus batting averages). However, his offensive potential is limited by poor plate discipline, as he is projected to strike out nearly 6 times as much as he walks. Thus he derives most of his value from defense and baserunning, which profile as being above the league average by a notable margin. That strength away from the plate leads ZIPS to project him as the best CF option in the Braves’ system. The question is whether he can hit enough to stay in the lineup. Todd Cunningham
While it feels like we’ve been talking about Cunningham for years, he’s still only going to be 26 this season.
Cunningham has much better plate discipline than either Perez or Upton, has shown some ability to be a plus runner (albeit less than either Upton or Perez), is expected to be a decent CFer, and profiles to be as productive as Upton given the same amount of PAs. However, the lack of any standout tool limits his upside and could limit him to a bench role. It is worth noting that Steamer projects Cunningham to be below replacement level, largely due to a 73 wRC+. At 26, this is likely Cunningham’s last chance at becoming a MLB starter and where he begins the season could indicate how John Hart and the Braves FO views him. Eric Young Jr. Eric Young Jr.
is probably most familiar to Braves fans for inadvertently shattering Tim Hudson’s ankle in 2013. Cut by the Mets in the offseason, he languished on the open market until the Braves signed him. While Young has the speed to play CF, he does not have much of a track record there. Instead, he’s most often played in LF and also has experience at 2B (and has a chance at contributing at both positions for the Braves). However, it is hard to get excited about Young’s offensive potential. Young has little to no power, has not found a way to translate his speed into elevated BABIPs, and doesn’t walk enough to be an OBP asset. Add in the question of how well he would play CF and his age (30 this season), and it is hard to get excited about the prospect of Young manning CF. While he’s a capable utility man, nothing in his history suggests he will be a big part of the Braves future. Zoilo Almonte Zoilo
, another ex-Yankee, is primarily a corner OFer due to his build. While he has demonstrated some power in the minor leagues, ZIPS projects him as a well below-average hitter. Almonte rarely walks, strikes out at a rapid rate, and has a horrific OBP projection. Add in the lack of defensive value and its not hard to see why ZIPS doesn’t think much of Almonte. While he still has allure of an intriguing corner OF option because of his power, ZIPS does not forsee him being a production option in 2015 (or likely, ever). Jose Constanza
Yikes. While Constanza
is able to make a ton of contact, his value on the basepaths is likely to decline based on his age (31) and he’s never been able to find much offensive success (with the exception of his 2011 season). He’s also never been a very good defensive CFer despite his range due to propensity to take bad routes and his weak arm. Perhaps the most interesting way to think about Constanza is as a test of Fredi Gonzalez’s ability to learn from past mistakes: if we see much of Constanza, it’ll be clear that the regime change has not inspired growth from Fredi.
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2013.09.22 17:42 DrPremium Sour Grapes over Vetoed Trade?
Apologies in advance for the convoluted post, but just needed some feedback on a complex situation.
12 Team 16 Category H2H league with 3 Keepers: 2 Bats, 1 Pitch, all of which have to have been taken after the 3rd round, and you keep the player next year in the same draft slot as you originally acquired him.
About a month ago in the lead up to the playoffs, I agreed to trade my Adam Jones for his Miggy Cabrera. This worked for my trading partner because he was getting Adam Jones, proj'd 20th overall pick in 2014 as his 7th Round pick next year, and I get Miggy for the rest of the year (but can't keep him b/c he was a first round pick in 2013).
Adam Jones is not a keeper for me, because I already have Chris Davis & Paul Goldschmidt, and you can only keep two hitters. So I went to trade him to another manager that was out of contention, because Jones would be an improvement on his keepers.
The trade was vetoed by the league, and it was stated in large part because earlier in the year I successfully pulled off another blockbuster trade that nobody was happy with. I traded Puig, Stanton, Mike Napoli for Jacoby Ellsbury, Adam Jones, Brian McCann, and Jordan Zimmerman. My trading partner in this deal really liked PuigMania, and was out of contention, so he obviously gave me a lot for him.
Well, as it turned out, Ellsbury has been on the DL and done nothing, Adam Jones has done next to nothing, Napoli is destroying while McCann barely plays, and even Stanton has been raking HR's. Puig has been ok, but I can't say that trade worked out for me.
Now I'm sitting on the final day of semis, FUMING because if I had Miggy on my team, I would be winning, and instead it looks like I will likely lose.
Basically everyone admitted that our keeper rules were flawed, as they created a situation where two trading partners could walk away with a mutually beneficial deal, but there are no disincentives to overpaying once you are out of contention.
My issue is that it seemed to get personal with me - a little earlier, someone traded Cano (2nd overall, can't keep) for Machedo (15th Round Keeper). Everyone is saying, oh that's different, Miggy was going for triple crown in a thin position, etc.. etc..., but then aren't we really just getting into value judgements? Add to it all that I've won the league recently and generally do well in fantasy, and I feel like I've been ganged up on.
So in the TL;DR, is it appropriate for the league to selectively use its veto power as a post-hoc way of "righting" a flawed keeper system, just before the playoffs?
Thanks and sorry again for length.
submitted by DrPremium
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